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respol-methods

Use when research design, identification, or measurement is the bottleneck for a Research Policy (RP) manuscript — choosing and defending a method (…

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技能内容

Methods (respol-methods)

When to trigger

  • The design is a default (OLS + controls, or a single case) and a referee questions whether it can support the claim
  • A patent or bibliometric indicator is used as if it transparently measures "innovation" or "knowledge"
  • A policy-evaluation paper rests on before/after comparison without an identification strategy
  • A survey reports correlations vulnerable to common-method bias or selection
  • A mixed-methods paper is really two studies stapled together with no integration logic

The Research Policy methods bar: pluralism with construct discipline

RP privileges no single technique — econometrics, bibliometrics/patent analysis, surveys, case studies, and mixed methods are all first-class — but it demands that the method fit the innovation-studies claim and that constructs be defended. The recurring RP failure is not weak statistics; it is treating an indicator (patents, citations, R&D spend) as if it were the latent thing (invention, knowledge flow, innovation effort). State what each measure does and does not capture, and design around its known biases.

Design paths by method

Patent / bibliometric quantitative

  • Construct validity first. Patents measure patentable invention propensity, not innovation; citations measure traceable knowledge linkage, not knowledge value. Justify the indicator for your claim and acknowledge truncation, sectoral propensity, and home/strategic bias.
  • Citation hygiene. Distinguish examiner- vs. applicant-added citations; correct self-citations; handle citation truncation (fixed windows or quasi-structural correction).
  • Endogeneity. Patent/co-patent measures of spillovers are endogenous to firm location and choices — defend with design (instruments, natural experiments) or bound the bias, don't assume exogeneity.
  • Family/coverage. State the patent office(s), family definition (DOCDB/INPADOC), and the matching of patents to firms/regions.

Causal policy evaluation (R&D subsidies, missions, IP reform)

  • Move beyond naive before/after: DID with a credible control (and, for staggered policy rollout, Callaway-Sant'Anna / Sun-Abraham / de Chaisemartin-D'Haultfœuille rather than plain TWFE); IV with a defended exclusion restriction; RDD at an eligibility threshold with density and covariate-smoothness checks.
  • Tie the estimand to the innovation mechanism (additionality vs. crowding-out, direction vs. rate of innovation), and argue policy-invariance for any counterfactual.

Survey (firm innovation behavior, CIS-style)

  • Report sampling frame, response rate, and non-response/selection checks; address common-method bias by design (separated sources, marker variables, Harman is necessary not sufficient).
  • Establish measurement validity (construct definitions, reliability, discriminant validity) before structural claims; state the population the estimates generalize to.

Case study / qualitative

  • Justify case selection on theoretical grounds (typical, extreme, polar); specify data sources and triangulation; pursue analytic (not statistical) generalization; show how rich data became constructs.

Mixed methods

  • State the integration logic: does the qualitative work generate the mechanism the quantitative work tests, or do the strands triangulate a construct? RP rejects "two papers in one" with no sequencing rationale.

Execution bridge (StatsPAI / Stata MCP)

Estimate and audit the design, don't only describe it. Full map:

[execution-with-mcp](../../../shared-resources/empirical-methods/execution-with-mcp.md). Research Policy is innovation studies — patent/firm panels with selection; foreground identification and the selection objection.

  • detect_designrecommend → fit with as_handle=trueaudit_result.
  • Observational causal claims: staggered DiD (callaway_santanna / sun_abraham +

bacon_decomposition + honest_did_from_result); IV (effective_f_test +

anderson_rubin_ci); RDD (rdrobust + mccrary_test).

  • Experiments: randomization-based inference + romano_wolf for many-outcome control.
  • Sensitivity: oster_delta / sensemakr for observational claims.

Report the magnitude in interpretable units; route the full battery to the appendix. A

run end-to-end (synthetic data, real returns) is in the [JF execution walkthrough](../../../Journal-of-Finance-Skills/resources/worked-examples/02-execution-walkthrough.md).

Checklist

  • [ ] The method is chosen to fit the innovation-studies claim, not by convenience or fashion
  • [ ] Each patent/bibliometric indicator's construct meaning and known biases are stated
  • [ ] Citation measures handle examiner/applicant, self-citation, and truncation
  • [ ] Causal designs use a credible counterfactual and modern staggered-treatment estimators where TWFE would bias
  • [ ] Surveys report response/selection and address common-method bias by design
  • [ ] Qualitative work defends case selection and generalization type
  • [ ] Mixed methods state an explicit integration logic

Anti-patterns

  • "Patents = innovation" with no construct caveat
  • Spillover claims from co-location/citations treated as exogenous
  • Plain TWFE on a staggered policy rollout with no heterogeneity discussion
  • Survey structural models with unaddressed common-method bias
  • A single case framed as if it gave statistical generalization
  • Mixed methods with no sequencing or integration rationale

Output format

【Journal】Research Policy
【Skill】respol-methods
【Method】patent-bibliometric / causal-policy-eval / survey / case / mixed
【Construct defense】what the measure captures and its biases
【Identification / validity】counterfactual / first-stage / selection / triangulation
【Innovation-mechanism link】how the design speaks to the mechanism
【What it does NOT support】...
【Verdict】pass / revise / reroute
【Next skill】respol-data-analysis

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