decision-journal

Decision documentation and learning skill for capturing decision context, rationale, and outcomes

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技能内容

Decision Journal

Overview

The Decision Journal skill provides systematic capabilities for documenting decisions, tracking outcomes, and extracting organizational learning. It creates a searchable archive of decision context, rationale, and results to improve future decision-making and build institutional knowledge.

Capabilities

Decision record creation (date, context, options, choice, rationale)
Outcome tracking and hindsight analysis
Decision pattern identification
Calibration tracking over time
Searchable decision archive
Lessons learned extraction
Decision audit trail
Report generation

Used By Processes

Decision Documentation and Learning
Cognitive Bias Debiasing Process
Decision Quality Assessment

Usage

Decision Record

# Create decision record
decision_record = {
    "metadata": {
        "id": "DEC-2024-0042",
        "title": "Market Expansion into Southeast Asia",
        "date": "2024-01-15",
        "decision_maker": "Executive Committee",
        "stakeholders": ["CEO", "CFO", "VP International", "Regional Directors"],
        "category": "Strategic",
        "tags": ["expansion", "international", "growth"]
    },
    "context": {
        "situation": "Company has saturated domestic market with 35% share. Growth targets require new markets.",
        "time_horizon": "5 years",
        "constraints": ["$50M investment cap", "Must leverage existing product line", "Partner preference over greenfield"],
        "urgency": "Medium - 12-month window before competitor moves"
    },
    "options_considered": [
        {
            "name": "Enter Vietnam first",
            "pros": ["Fastest growing economy", "Favorable demographics", "Existing distributor relationship"],
            "cons": ["Regulatory complexity", "IP protection concerns"],
            "expected_outcomes": {"NPV": 25000000, "probability_success": 0.65}
        },
        {
            "name": "Enter Singapore as hub",
            "pros": ["Strong IP protection", "Gateway to ASEAN", "Talent availability"],
            "cons": ["Higher costs", "Smaller direct market"],
            "expected_outcomes": {"NPV": 18000000, "probability_success": 0.80}
        },
        {
            "name": "Defer 1 year",
            "pros": ["More market intelligence", "Economic uncertainty resolution"],
            "cons": ["Competitor advantage", "Momentum loss"],
            "expected_outcomes": {"NPV": 15000000, "probability_success": 0.75}
        }
    ],
    "decision": {
        "choice": "Enter Singapore as hub",
        "rationale": "Higher probability of success outweighs NPV difference. Hub strategy enables sequential expansion with lower risk.",
        "key_assumptions": [
            "Singapore cost structure remains competitive",
            "ASEAN trade agreements stable",
            "Partner availability in year 2-3"
        ],
        "dissenting_views": ["CFO preferred Vietnam for higher NPV potential"]
    },
    "implementation": {
        "key_milestones": [
            {"date": "2024-Q2", "milestone": "Entity established"},
            {"date": "2024-Q4", "milestone": "First local hire"},
            {"date": "2025-Q2", "milestone": "First revenue"}
        ],
        "success_metrics": ["Revenue", "Market share", "Partner pipeline"],
        "review_dates": ["2024-07-15", "2025-01-15", "2025-07-15"]
    }
}

Outcome Tracking

# Record outcome
outcome_record = {
    "decision_id": "DEC-2024-0042",
    "review_date": "2025-01-15",
    "actual_outcomes": {
        "milestones_met": 2,
        "milestones_total": 3,
        "revenue": 2500000,
        "market_share": 0.02,
        "unexpected_events": ["COVID variant impact Q3", "Key competitor exited"]
    },
    "assessment": {
        "outcome_vs_expected": "Better than expected",
        "decision_quality_vs_outcome": "Good decision, good outcome",
        "key_learnings": [
            "Hub strategy provided flexibility during disruption",
            "Underestimated talent availability"
        ],
        "would_decide_differently": False,
        "process_improvements": ["Include pandemic scenarios in future expansion decisions"]
    }
}

Pattern Analysis

# Query patterns
pattern_query = {
    "analysis_type": "calibration",
    "filters": {
        "category": "Strategic",
        "date_range": ["2022-01-01", "2024-12-31"],
        "decision_maker": "Executive Committee"
    },
    "metrics": [
        "probability_calibration",
        "npv_accuracy",
        "timeline_accuracy",
        "success_rate_by_category"
    ]
}

Input Schema

{
  "operation": "create|update|outcome|query|report",
  "decision_record": {
    "metadata": "object",
    "context": "object",
    "options_considered": ["object"],
    "decision": "object",
    "implementation": "object"
  },
  "outcome_record": {
    "decision_id": "string",
    "actual_outcomes": "object",
    "assessment": "object"
  },
  "query": {
    "filters": "object",
    "analysis_type": "string"
  }
}

Output Schema

{
  "decision_record": {
    "id": "string",
    "created": "string",
    "status": "string"
  },
  "query_results": {
    "decisions": ["object"],
    "patterns": {
      "calibration": {
        "overconfidence_rate": "number",
        "npv_bias": "number",
        "timeline_bias": "number"
      },
      "success_factors": ["string"],
      "common_mistakes": ["string"]
    }
  },
  "report_path": "string"
}